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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.60vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.15+7.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.08vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.80+0.13vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.75-5.01vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-1.59vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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9.59California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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2.75Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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4.61University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.13University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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6.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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10.41San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.59California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 18.2% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 32.3% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 23.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.