← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.17+1.75vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.92+5.37vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.55vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.28+0.50vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.66+0.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.96-0.90vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.68vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.80-0.44vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.12vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.23vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.12vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.29-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.75Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
-
7.37University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
4.5University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
-
3.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
-
7.56University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.88California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
5.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
8.88California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
9.44San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.8% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 8.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 21.5% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 21.5% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.