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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.35vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+7.00vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.18-1.58vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-1.04vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.39vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.65vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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10.0California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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5.85University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.1%1st Place
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5.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.0San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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10.0California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 40.9% | 28.3% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 18.8% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 18.6% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 32.9% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 18.6% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.