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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.59vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-1.01vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.25vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.97+0.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.45-4.08vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.25-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.64-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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9.91California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.1%1st Place
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5.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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9.91California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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8.95San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 42.1% | 26.4% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 17.8% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 58.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 58.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 31.3% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.