← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.59+1.14vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.14+2.46vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+7.58vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.94vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+1.19vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-2.66vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego1.45-1.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California2.18-3.67vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.25+0.43vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.24-0.60vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-3.18vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.46vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
-
4.46University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
10.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
5.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
-
6.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.0%1st Place
-
3.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
5.83University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
4.33University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
9.43San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
9.4University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
-
7.82University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
10.58California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 40.3% | 28.1% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 50.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 19.6% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 50.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.