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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.38vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.97+8.59vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59-0.90vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.18-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.14-2.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.40vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-0.57vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.41vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-5.72vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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10.59California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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2.1Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.95University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.43San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.59California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.28California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 17.3% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 50.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 44.3% | 24.4% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.7% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 26.3% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 50.7% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.