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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.49vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.97+6.04vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45-1.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-2.24vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-2.77vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-3.56vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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4.34University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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10.04California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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5.68University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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6.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.0%1st Place
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8.98San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.04California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 42.2% | 26.5% | 17.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.7% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 16.4% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 18.7% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 32.8% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 18.7% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.