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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.18+0.46vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.95vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.43vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.45-2.25vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.64-2.58vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.25-2.04vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Stanford University3.590.4%1st Place
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4.4University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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9.95California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.96San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.95California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 43.1% | 25.8% | 17.8% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 16.5% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 61.3% | 0.0% |
| Storm Brown | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.5% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 31.9% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 61.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.