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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.18+0.43vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45-0.21vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.90vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University3.460.4%1st Place
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2.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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4.58University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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5.79University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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5.88California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.1%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.03San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 36.0% | 27.3% | 18.3% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 28.2% | 26.6% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.4% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam Hood | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Storm Brown | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 27.5% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 32.8% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 22.2% | 25.5% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.