← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.29+3.07vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.11+0.53vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.51+0.69vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University2.54+1.70vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.88-0.17vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.50-0.35vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University2.16-0.81vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.43-2.34vs Predicted
-
9Williams College0.22+0.68vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.53-0.79vs Predicted
-
11Hamilton College0.75-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
2.53College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
-
3.69Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
-
5.7Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
-
5.65Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.19Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.66Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.68Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
-
9.21Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
-
8.77Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 34.7% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 16.1% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| William Felder | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Walker Banks | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 25.2% | 46.3% |
| John Hodges | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 28.9% | 31.1% |
| Julie Webster | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 24.5% | 27.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.