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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Billing 12.1% 15.3% 16.0% 16.1% 14.1% 12.5% 7.9% 3.4% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Banholzer 34.7% 23.9% 17.2% 10.8% 7.6% 2.8% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephanie Hudson 16.1% 17.8% 17.8% 14.4% 13.2% 10.2% 5.8% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 6.2% 6.9% 8.7% 9.6% 11.9% 14.5% 14.6% 15.7% 8.2% 3.0% 0.7%
William Felder 10.0% 11.6% 12.2% 12.7% 12.2% 12.5% 12.1% 10.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Joseph Turchiano 6.4% 8.1% 8.4% 10.9% 11.8% 12.8% 14.8% 12.5% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0%
Drew Lisicki 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 9.1% 10.1% 12.1% 15.1% 16.9% 11.6% 6.6% 1.2%
Walker Banks 6.6% 6.6% 10.0% 10.7% 11.8% 12.7% 13.4% 13.7% 10.3% 3.7% 0.5%
Joshua Revkin 0.5% 1.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 5.5% 12.0% 25.2% 46.3%
John Hodges 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.4% 3.3% 4.9% 8.7% 15.6% 28.9% 31.1%
Julie Webster 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 4.2% 5.6% 9.4% 24.5% 27.0% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.