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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.24vs Predicted
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2American University-0.66+3.17vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.47+2.25vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.23-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.14vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85+0.45vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.86+2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.07-2.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.27-1.12vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.59-3.51vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.36-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Virginia Tech0.9740.0%1st Place
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5.17American University-0.667.5%1st Place
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5.25Princeton University-0.477.9%1st Place
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3.57Drexel University0.2317.3%1st Place
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5.1University of Maryland-0.698.8%1st Place
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5.86University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.4%1st Place
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7.45Catholic University of America-1.852.6%1st Place
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10.0Monmouth University-2.860.9%1st Place
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6.27University of Delaware-1.075.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Military Academy-2.271.5%1st Place
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7.49Rutgers University-1.592.8%1st Place
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10.72St. John's College-3.360.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 40.0% | 26.2% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 17.3% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Powell | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Cheyenne Fair | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 28.6% | 30.3% |
| Benjamin Koly | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 11.9% |
| Nadine Rouba | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| August Bellanca | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 23.1% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.