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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+4.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+0.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46-0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.18-2.77vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.33-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.24-0.02vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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2.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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2.33Stanford University3.460.3%1st Place
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4.55University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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5.83University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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5.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.0%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.93San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hood | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Quinn Wilson | 27.9% | 26.7% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 34.9% | 27.6% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 14.5% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.1% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Storm Brown | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 29.7% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 30.6% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.