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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+0.16vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.05vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.93vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.33+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+0.33vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.64-2.45vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.72-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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2.16Stanford University3.460.4%1st Place
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6.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.330.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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9.32San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 17.3% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 41.8% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.6% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Michael Pacholski | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| Storm Brown | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 11.4% |
| James Melvin | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 47.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 11.1% |
| Will Paulsen | 6.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.