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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.54+4.67vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.88+2.00vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51-0.32vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.43+0.77vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50-0.35vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.16-0.84vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-5.53vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.53+0.26vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-0.39vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.75-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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3.93Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.0University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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3.68Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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5.77Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.65Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.16Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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2.47College of Charleston4.110.4%1st Place
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9.26Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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9.61Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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8.8Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Emily Billing | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Felder | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 15.8% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Drew Lisicki | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 36.1% | 24.7% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hodges | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 17.1% | 30.6% | 31.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 22.5% | 45.1% |
| Julie Webster | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 21.5% | 26.9% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.