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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-0.59+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+4.07vs Predicted
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3American University-1.01+1.92vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.33-0.52vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.71+4.12vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.33-0.08vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.85-2.45vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67-1.43vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.58-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.70-3.34vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.56-2.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Delaware-0.5917.8%1st Place
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6.07University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.437.4%1st Place
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4.92American University-1.0111.1%1st Place
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3.48Virginia Tech-0.3321.6%1st Place
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9.12Catholic University of America-2.712.1%1st Place
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5.92Princeton University-1.337.2%1st Place
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4.55Drexel University-0.8513.0%1st Place
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6.57Rutgers University-1.676.0%1st Place
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8.84Monmouth University-2.582.4%1st Place
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6.66University of Maryland-1.706.6%1st Place
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8.74St. John's College-2.562.8%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Military Academy-2.682.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Coffill | 17.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John TIS | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Lance Shrum | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Evangeline Barras | 21.6% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 23.7% |
| Cole Crosby | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Randle | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Karolina Debniak | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Julia Marich | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 21.5% |
| Naitik Gupta | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Lukas Walker | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 19.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.