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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.58vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+3.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+2.78vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+0.12vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-1.44vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.16+0.42vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.43-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.88-3.30vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.53+0.26vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-0.38vs Predicted
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11Hamilton College0.75-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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5.54Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.78Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.12Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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3.56Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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6.42Clemson University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.62Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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9.26Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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9.62Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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8.79Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 32.1% | 24.2% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 18.7% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Walker Banks | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| William Felder | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Hodges | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 17.8% | 30.5% | 31.0% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 45.0% |
| Julie Webster | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 21.9% | 26.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.