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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.01+4.04vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.59+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+3.02vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.33-0.58vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.85-0.57vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-2.71+3.20vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.33-1.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.68+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.70-2.28vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-2.56-1.20vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.67-4.30vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-2.58-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04American University-1.0110.9%1st Place
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4.01University of Delaware-0.5916.6%1st Place
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6.02University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.437.5%1st Place
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3.42Virginia Tech-0.3321.9%1st Place
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4.43Drexel University-0.8515.0%1st Place
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9.2Catholic University of America-2.712.2%1st Place
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5.72Princeton University-1.337.8%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Military Academy-2.682.5%1st Place
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6.72University of Maryland-1.705.9%1st Place
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8.8St. John's College-2.562.5%1st Place
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6.7Rutgers University-1.674.6%1st Place
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8.81Monmouth University-2.582.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Shrum | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Coffill | 16.6% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John TIS | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Evangeline Barras | 21.9% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Faith Dickerson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 25.9% |
| Cole Crosby | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 24.2% |
| Naitik Gupta | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Lukas Walker | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| Karolina Debniak | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Julia Marich | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.