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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.61vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.85+2.70vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.76+3.52vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-0.32vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55-0.02vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-1.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82-4.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.39-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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4.7Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.52Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
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3.68Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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4.98Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.62Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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2.84Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 17.7% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 1.0% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 39.2% | 7.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 16.8% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 28.0% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 85.8% |
| Garrett Connelly | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.