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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.74vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.55+2.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79+0.56vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.85-0.59vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.76+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.39-1.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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3.74University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.41Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.48Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.71Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 28.1% | 21.5% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 14.4% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Skye Shepherd | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 0.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 38.0% | 7.6% |
| Garrett Connelly | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 2.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 85.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 18.2% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.