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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+4.74vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11+0.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+1.11vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.43+1.97vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+0.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-2.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.88-2.32vs Predicted
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8Clemson University2.16-1.75vs Predicted
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9Williams College0.22+0.65vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.75-1.15vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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2.53College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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4.11Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.97Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.56Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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4.68University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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6.25Clemson University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.65Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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8.85Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.16Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 34.5% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 17.7% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Felder | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 46.7% |
| Julie Webster | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 21.3% | 29.2% | 21.0% |
| John Hodges | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 19.4% | 28.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.