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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.05+0.59vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.85+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.87+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.05+3.40vs Predicted
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5American University-1.01-0.32vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-2.58+2.53vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.99+0.11vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.33-2.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-2.68-0.21vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.71-1.11vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.63-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Virginia Tech1.0561.0%1st Place
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4.38Drexel University-0.858.3%1st Place
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6.83University of Maryland-1.872.7%1st Place
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7.4University of Delaware-2.052.6%1st Place
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4.68American University-1.017.8%1st Place
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8.53Monmouth University-2.581.2%1st Place
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7.11Rutgers University-1.991.9%1st Place
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5.37Princeton University-1.335.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Military Academy-2.681.4%1st Place
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8.89Catholic University of America-2.711.1%1st Place
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8.71St. John's College-2.632.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Morrison | 61.0% | 25.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% |
| Lance Shrum | 7.8% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Marich | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| Amelia Mignone | 1.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Cole Crosby | 5.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 20.5% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 22.4% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| John TIS | 5.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.