← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.79+3.82vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.76+4.74vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.04-0.29vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.82-1.07vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.85-0.41vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.36-2.24vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.55-1.71vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island1.39-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.74Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
-
2.71Brown University3.040.3%1st Place
-
2.93Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
-
4.59Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
-
3.76University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
-
5.29Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
8.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
-
5.53University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bresnick | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 1.0% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 39.2% | 9.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 28.3% | 25.1% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 24.1% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 8.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 15.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 1.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 85.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.