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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+2.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+1.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04-0.32vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.85+0.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.39-0.50vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+1.68vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.76-1.41vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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2.68Brown University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.63Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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4.71Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.59Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.25Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 20.6% | 23.7% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 31.0% | 21.7% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 9.0% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 1.6% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 8.1% | 85.1% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 20.0% | 36.1% | 9.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.