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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.28+2.85vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.85+2.82vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.76+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+0.42vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82-3.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.79-2.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.28-4.14vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Rhode Island2.280.2%1st Place
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4.82Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.61Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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2.85Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.84Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.86Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Flaherty | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 41.0% | 7.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 0.5% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 2.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 28.5% | 21.5% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 1.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 16.2% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.