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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.85+3.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.28+2.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+5.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82-1.18vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79-0.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-2.50vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.76-1.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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2.82Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.69Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.81Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.22Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Padegs | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 87.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 28.6% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 1.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 16.6% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Schryver | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 43.5% | 7.2% |
| Skye Shepherd | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.