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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Harris Padegs 10.1% 11.0% 11.6% 12.3% 13.8% 16.1% 14.6% 9.5% 1.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 13.5% 14.2% 15.0% 16.7% 15.2% 10.5% 10.5% 4.1% 0.3%
Kennard MacVaugh 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 2.2% 5.7% 87.5%
Jack Bitney 28.6% 24.1% 15.8% 14.2% 8.0% 5.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Zachary Bresnick 9.3% 12.9% 12.9% 11.3% 12.9% 13.1% 15.5% 10.8% 1.3%
Blaire McCarthy 16.6% 14.2% 17.2% 13.8% 14.6% 12.8% 7.1% 3.3% 0.4%
Matthew Schryver 10.4% 10.3% 13.0% 15.3% 15.9% 15.0% 12.2% 7.3% 0.6%
Allie DeLuca 3.4% 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 6.8% 10.9% 14.2% 43.5% 7.2%
Skye Shepherd 8.0% 8.3% 9.1% 10.5% 11.9% 14.9% 20.6% 15.2% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.