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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+1.75vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.85+3.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.28-1.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+2.68vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55-1.60vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.79-3.10vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.76-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Brown University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.0Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.4Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.9Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.67Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 28.1% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 23.2% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 86.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 1.0% |
| Allie DeLuca | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 42.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.