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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Murphy 28.1% 23.9% 18.7% 12.7% 10.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Harris Padegs 6.3% 8.0% 11.2% 14.9% 15.1% 16.3% 15.5% 11.3% 1.4%
Jack Bitney 23.2% 21.1% 18.7% 13.5% 11.0% 7.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Matthew Schryver 9.1% 12.2% 12.4% 14.0% 15.2% 15.7% 13.8% 7.1% 0.5%
Michael O'Flaherty 14.5% 16.7% 14.0% 15.8% 12.3% 12.6% 8.8% 4.8% 0.5%
Kennard MacVaugh 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 3.0% 6.6% 86.3%
Skye Shepherd 6.4% 6.3% 7.9% 12.0% 12.0% 18.2% 20.1% 14.6% 2.5%
Zachary Bresnick 8.5% 8.4% 12.6% 12.6% 14.3% 14.6% 16.0% 12.0% 1.0%
Allie DeLuca 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 3.8% 8.8% 9.1% 17.6% 42.1% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.