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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+3.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+1.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82-0.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.85+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.28-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94-1.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55-1.74vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.76-1.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.99Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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2.94Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.57Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Rhode Island2.280.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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6.59Salve Regina University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bresnick | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 0.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 12.0% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 27.7% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 16.8% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 0.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 2.2% |
| Allie DeLuca | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 40.7% | 9.4% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 7.1% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.