← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.88+7.72vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.17+5.57vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University0.10+12.20vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.77+1.16vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.35+1.64vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.29+4.94vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.15+0.48vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.34+2.66vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.12+2.68vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.49-3.58vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.33-0.02vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.20-4.36vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.69-3.85vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.22-3.07vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-2.43vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University1.15-4.41vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.49-6.73vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.72George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
-
7.57U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
-
15.2Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.16George Washington University2.770.2%1st Place
-
6.64George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.94U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
-
10.66George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
-
11.68Georgetown University1.120.0%1st Place
-
6.42U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.98Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
7.64Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.15Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
10.93Georgetown University1.220.0%1st Place
-
12.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
-
11.59Georgetown University1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.27Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Mandell | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Louis Margay | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 43.5% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bennett | 8.8% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Carminati | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Fleig | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John DeRuff | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Yusuf Mallick | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Gray Benson | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Boyd Housey | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Walshe | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Jack Murray | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% |
| Nathaniel Winters | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| George White | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.