← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+5.40vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.33+9.09vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.88+5.77vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87+8.42vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.77+0.17vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.20+1.23vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.69+2.35vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.61vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.45vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.35-3.11vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.34-0.13vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.49-1.49vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy2.17-5.72vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.15-2.80vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University1.22-3.82vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy1.29-5.01vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University1.12-5.19vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University0.10-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
-
11.09Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.77George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
-
12.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
-
5.17George Washington University2.770.2%1st Place
-
7.23Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.35Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
-
7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.89George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.87George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
-
10.51Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
-
7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
-
11.2Georgetown University1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.18Georgetown University1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.99U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
-
11.81Georgetown University1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.89Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Mandell | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Boyd Housey | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Walshe | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Fleig | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John DeRuff | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| George White | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Louis Margay | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Winters | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Jack Murray | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Jack Carminati | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Yusuf Mallick | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.