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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.77+4.41vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.35+4.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+3.28vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+3.15vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.33+5.68vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.88+2.60vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.55vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69+1.24vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.12+2.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.17-3.43vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.22-0.40vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.49-2.99vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.29-4.10vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.34-5.15vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.15-5.34vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University0.10-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.6George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.24Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.66Georgetown University1.120.0%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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11.6Georgetown University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.01Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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12.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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11.66Georgetown University1.150.0%1st Place
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14.92Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DiDomizio | 12.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gray Benson | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Boyd Housey | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Walshe | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Yusuf Mallick | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Louis Margay | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Murray | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| George White | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% |
| Jack Carminati | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| John DeRuff | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Nathaniel Winters | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.