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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.56vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+1.94vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.68vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.50+1.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51-1.43vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.43-0.18vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.16-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.88-3.26vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.75-0.08vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-0.37vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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3.94Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.68Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.78Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.57Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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5.82Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.22Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.74University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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8.92Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.63Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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9.14Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 32.1% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 14.1% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 18.6% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Drew Lisicki | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| William Felder | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Julie Webster | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 21.3% | 28.8% | 23.4% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 23.4% | 45.5% |
| John Hodges | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 29.0% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.