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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-0.85+3.26vs Predicted
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2American University-1.01+2.70vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.05-1.32vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.99+3.20vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-2.58+3.37vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.33-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.87-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.05-0.53vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-2.63-0.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.68-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-5.25vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-2.71-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Drexel University-0.859.7%1st Place
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4.7American University-1.017.3%1st Place
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1.68Virginia Tech1.0557.9%1st Place
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7.2Rutgers University-1.992.9%1st Place
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8.37Monmouth University-2.581.7%1st Place
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5.44Princeton University-1.335.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Maryland-1.873.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Delaware-2.052.6%1st Place
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8.71St. John's College-2.631.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Military Academy-2.681.6%1st Place
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5.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.435.3%1st Place
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8.85Catholic University of America-2.711.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Randle | 9.7% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lance Shrum | 7.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Morrison | 57.9% | 24.6% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Mignone | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.3% |
| Julia Marich | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% |
| Cole Crosby | 5.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 20.4% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 20.4% |
| John TIS | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.