← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+5.40vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.88+6.75vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77+2.36vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+2.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15+2.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.38vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.61vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.34+2.63vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+1.81vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.22+1.48vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.12+0.77vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.49-1.47vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.20-5.88vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.15-2.81vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-2.47vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.69-6.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy1.29-5.93vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University0.10-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.75George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.36George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.48Georgetown University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.77Georgetown University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.53Old Dominion University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.19Georgetown University1.150.0%1st Place
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12.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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9.43Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Naval Academy1.290.0%1st Place
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14.9Georgetown University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Mandell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Fleig | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Louis Margay | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| John DeRuff | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Jack Murray | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Yusuf Mallick | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% |
| George White | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Boyd Housey | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Winters | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Christopher Booher | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
| Taylor Walshe | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Jack Carminati | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Gretchen McCarthy | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.