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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+2.16vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.46+2.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.55-0.57vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.05+0.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.56-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.39-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Tufts University0.990.2%1st Place
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4.13Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
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2.43Boston University1.550.3%1st Place
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4.82University of New Hampshire0.050.1%1st Place
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4.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.1%1st Place
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3.87University of New Hampshire0.560.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.82University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 19.6% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Colin Snow | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 34.7% | 25.6% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 4.9% |
| Maya Stephani | 9.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Lisa Olsson | 13.5% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Elle Bukosky | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 27.5% | 43.2% |
| John Bogush | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 28.8% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.