Race 3A

mendums-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Skye Shepherd 35.3% 22.8% 17.8% 12.9% 6.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 17.1% 20.5% 18.6% 15.6% 14.3% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 11.4% 12.8% 14.5% 17.8% 16.8% 14.4% 9.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Thomas Bouchard 7.8% 9.1% 10.9% 13.7% 16.2% 20.5% 15.7% 5.0% 1.1%
Colin Snow 11.5% 15.6% 16.6% 13.7% 15.6% 15.2% 8.0% 3.3% 0.5%
Lisa Olsson 12.4% 13.8% 13.8% 18.9% 17.7% 13.4% 7.5% 2.5% 0.0%
John Bogush 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.0% 4.8% 10.2% 20.6% 38.9% 15.8%
Elle Bukosky 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 6.1% 11.4% 26.9% 30.5% 13.3%
Taylor Davis 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 0.9% 1.7% 3.2% 6.8% 15.7% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.