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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.44+0.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.28+0.23vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.82+3.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.61-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.59-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4Boston University2.440.7%1st Place
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2.23Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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4.43Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.820.0%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.91University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.85University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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5.69University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Robinson | 67.9% | 25.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 20.3% | 48.6% | 21.7% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.7% | 7.3% | 18.7% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Julia Farr | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 63.5% |
| Andrew Morrison | 3.6% | 6.8% | 23.3% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Julianna Bennett | 2.2% | 4.9% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 5.5% |
| David Swan | 1.4% | 2.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 29.1% | 15.2% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 26.9% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.