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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.44+0.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.28+0.25vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.43vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.61-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.82-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41Boston University2.440.7%1st Place
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2.25Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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4.43Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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4.89University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.72University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.82University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Robinson | 67.8% | 24.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 20.0% | 47.9% | 21.7% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.6% | 7.0% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Morrison | 2.7% | 9.6% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Julianna Bennett | 2.7% | 4.3% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.5% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 15.0% |
| David Swan | 1.4% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 27.0% | 15.7% |
| Julia Farr | 0.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 18.6% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.