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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.44+0.42vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.65+2.70vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.99+2.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.28-1.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.54-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Maine-2.72-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.82-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42Boston University2.440.7%1st Place
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4.7Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.07University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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2.2Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.96University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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6.05University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Maine-2.720.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Robinson | 66.4% | 26.2% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 2.2% | 4.6% | 16.6% | 25.8% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Julianna Bennett | 2.4% | 4.8% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 22.3% | 47.8% | 20.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morrison | 3.8% | 9.3% | 25.1% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.7% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 23.4% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
| David Swan | 1.1% | 2.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 7.1% |
| Cully Richard | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 28.2% | 38.7% |
| Julia Farr | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 25.0% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.