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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+3.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.11+0.57vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.16+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.88+0.97vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+0.59vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54-0.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.51-3.55vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.43-2.35vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.53+0.25vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College0.75-1.14vs Predicted
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11Williams College0.22-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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2.57College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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6.48Clemson University2.160.0%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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5.59Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.54Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.45Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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5.65Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.25Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.86Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.58Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 33.0% | 23.3% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Lisicki | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| William Felder | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 19.8% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walker Banks | 6.8% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| John Hodges | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 25.6% | 33.4% |
| Julie Webster | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 20.8% | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 13.7% | 26.5% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.