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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emily Billing 12.5% 14.7% 15.6% 17.2% 14.1% 11.6% 8.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Banholzer 33.0% 23.3% 18.9% 12.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Lisicki 4.6% 4.6% 5.8% 7.7% 9.5% 11.4% 14.4% 19.0% 14.1% 7.2% 1.7%
William Felder 7.7% 10.3% 11.7% 13.1% 13.1% 15.7% 12.7% 9.6% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Joseph Turchiano 6.4% 9.0% 8.4% 9.3% 13.1% 13.3% 13.7% 14.6% 7.8% 4.2% 0.2%
Robert Lippincott 6.6% 8.5% 9.1% 10.3% 12.7% 13.4% 13.9% 13.9% 7.0% 3.9% 0.7%
Stephanie Hudson 19.8% 20.9% 16.2% 14.1% 11.1% 8.4% 5.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Walker Banks 6.8% 5.3% 10.1% 11.5% 12.2% 12.7% 15.2% 12.4% 10.0% 3.2% 0.6%
John Hodges 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 4.2% 7.8% 18.5% 25.6% 33.4%
Julie Webster 1.1% 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 6.1% 10.1% 20.8% 28.0% 21.6%
Joshua Revkin 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 3.0% 4.4% 5.6% 13.7% 26.5% 41.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.