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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.85+3.63vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.67+4.84vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.33+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+2.56vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.33+0.95vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.85-1.35vs Predicted
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7American University-1.01-1.84vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.92-0.61vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.58+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-3.68vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.38-2.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.68-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63University of Maryland-0.8513.5%1st Place
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6.84Rutgers University-1.676.6%1st Place
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3.51Virginia Tech-0.3322.9%1st Place
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6.56University of Delaware-1.575.9%1st Place
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5.95Princeton University-1.338.8%1st Place
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4.65Drexel University-0.8513.0%1st Place
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5.16American University-1.0110.2%1st Place
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7.39Catholic University of America-1.925.3%1st Place
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9.1Monmouth University-2.581.8%1st Place
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6.32University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.437.0%1st Place
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8.55St. John's College-2.383.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Military Academy-2.682.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zagalsky | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Karolina Debniak | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Evangeline Barras | 22.9% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Cole Crosby | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Randle | 13.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lance Shrum | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Aron | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% |
| Julia Marich | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 27.4% |
| John TIS | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.