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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.14+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.05+2.47vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+1.72vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.85+0.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-0.07vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.06-4.75vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.92-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.16Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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2.25Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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5.19Drexel University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 23.9% | 27.8% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Stanley Galloway | 15.6% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 17.5% |
| Zachary Vance | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 24.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 13.2% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 29.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 38.2% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.