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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+0.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+2.05vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.61-0.18vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.85-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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2.22Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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3.55University of Pittsburgh0.140.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.82Drexel University-0.610.1%1st Place
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5.21Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 25.2% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 37.4% | 28.8% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 14.7% | 16.5% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Johnston | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 31.5% |
| Alison Reed | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 9.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| Zachary Vance | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 26.2% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 20.3% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.