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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.80vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+0.25vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.85+2.23vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.61+0.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14-2.45vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.05-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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2.25Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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5.23Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.85Drexel University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Pittsburgh0.140.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 25.0% | 23.2% | 22.6% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 37.6% | 27.3% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 14.4% |
| Alison Reed | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% |
| Kevin Johnston | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 30.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 14.1% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Vance | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 25.3% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.