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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.06+1.20vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+2.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.05+0.44vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.85-0.92vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.10-1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh0.14-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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2.8Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.08Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.55Drexel University-1.100.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 37.3% | 29.8% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 23.6% | 25.1% | 22.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Vance | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 27.8% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| Katherine Foley | 6.2% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
| Lindsey Winter | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| Stanley Galloway | 16.0% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.