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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.73vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.05+1.45vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.10+0.55vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.85-0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Virginia Tech0.590.3%1st Place
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2.17Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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3.44University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
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5.45University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.55Drexel University-1.100.0%1st Place
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5.07Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 26.4% | 24.4% | 21.4% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 38.1% | 29.0% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 15.1% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
| Lindsey Winter | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| Katherine Foley | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.7% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 29.8% |
| Zachary Vance | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.