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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.59+1.68vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.85+3.02vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.06-0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.86-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-1.43vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.79-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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5.02Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.17Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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3.39University of Pittsburgh0.140.2%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.4Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Magno | 23.6% | 29.5% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Foley | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 10.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 39.1% | 27.3% | 19.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 15.3% | 17.9% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 24.5% | 21.4% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 9.7% |
| Zachary Vance | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| James Giebel | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.