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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+1.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+1.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.88+0.96vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.16+1.30vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51-2.40vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50-1.54vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.43-2.30vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College0.75-0.08vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.22-0.38vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.53-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61College of Charleston4.110.3%1st Place
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3.98Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida2.880.1%1st Place
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6.3Clemson University2.160.0%1st Place
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3.6Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.7Eckerd College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.92Hamilton College0.750.0%1st Place
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9.62Williams College0.220.0%1st Place
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9.18Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 31.6% | 24.4% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| William Felder | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Drew Lisicki | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 1.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 17.4% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Walker Banks | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Julie Webster | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 20.8% | 29.2% | 23.5% |
| Joshua Revkin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 45.8% |
| John Hodges | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 19.7% | 29.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.