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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.01+4.18vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.67+4.86vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.33+0.49vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.85+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.85-0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+0.20vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.92+0.42vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.33-2.04vs Predicted
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9St. John's College-2.38-0.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.68-0.61vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-2.58-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.57-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18American University-1.0111.6%1st Place
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6.86Rutgers University-1.675.9%1st Place
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3.49Virginia Tech-0.3322.2%1st Place
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4.73Drexel University-0.8513.4%1st Place
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4.6University of Maryland-0.8513.7%1st Place
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6.2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.437.3%1st Place
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7.42Catholic University of America-1.924.3%1st Place
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5.96Princeton University-1.338.3%1st Place
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8.63St. John's College-2.383.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Military Academy-2.682.1%1st Place
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8.9Monmouth University-2.582.7%1st Place
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6.63University of Delaware-1.575.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Shrum | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Karolina Debniak | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Evangeline Barras | 22.2% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John TIS | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Christian Aron | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Cole Crosby | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| McCaslin Miles | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 33.1% |
| Julia Marich | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 24.3% |
| Sophie DeCoite | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.