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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.06+1.12vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+0.75vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.85+1.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.86-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-1.42vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.79-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Webb Institute1.060.4%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech0.590.2%1st Place
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4.96Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Pittsburgh0.140.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.4Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 41.2% | 27.4% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 23.6% | 26.6% | 21.4% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 9.7% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 22.2% | 23.4% |
| Stanley Galloway | 14.7% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 5.5% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| Zachary Vance | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 18.7% |
| James Giebel | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.