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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90+2.48vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.26+2.25vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.46-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-2.21+1.89vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.22-0.84vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-1.16-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-2.52-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.2%1st Place
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4.25Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.83Monmouth University-0.460.3%1st Place
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5.89University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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4.16Drexel University-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.98Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Butler | 18.6% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| David Fehrle | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 29.4% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Robert Cathell | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 29.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 10.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Daniel Engbert | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| Stephen Turocy | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.