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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+0.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90+2.39vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.46+0.64vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.42+1.29vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-1.16-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-0.62-2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.21-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Virginia Tech1.150.6%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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3.64Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.29Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.85Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Pittsburgh-0.620.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 57.5% | 26.0% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Butler | 7.3% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 4.9% |
| Veronica Lane | 11.3% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Tobias Green | 4.7% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 15.3% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 5.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
| Bryce Merrill | 9.4% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Engbert | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| Robert Cathell | 1.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.