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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+0.67vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.42+3.32vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.21+3.43vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.46-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-1.63vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-1.16-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Virginia Tech1.150.6%1st Place
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5.32Drexel University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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3.67Monmouth University-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Pittsburgh-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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4.92Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 58.2% | 24.9% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 14.4% |
| Robert Cathell | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 45.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 10.8% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Merrill | 8.9% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Butler | 7.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| Daniel Engbert | 2.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.