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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.26+3.58vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-1.16+2.50vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.46+0.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.90-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.21+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-0.62-2.57vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.22-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.73-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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4.5Webb Institute-1.160.1%1st Place
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3.12Monmouth University-0.460.2%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.900.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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3.43University of Pittsburgh-0.620.2%1st Place
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4.62Drexel University-1.220.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fehrle | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Ryan Flanagan | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 24.5% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Butler | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Robert Cathell | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 42.7% |
| Bryce Merrill | 19.6% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 9.7% |
| Daniel Engbert | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.