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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+1.10vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.58+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.68-0.12vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.96+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34-1.59vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.11-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.12-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.0Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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5.13Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 42.1% | 26.5% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 18.2% | 21.6% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Will Neubauer | 19.8% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Cuyler Dull | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 24.9% | 33.6% | 14.9% |
| Michael Stone | 12.5% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Victor Nartovich | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 21.9% | 33.4% | 20.4% |
| Logan Noel | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.