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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.05+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.85+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+3.18vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.85+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.05+2.74vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.92+1.28vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.33-1.14vs Predicted
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8American University-1.01-2.95vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.58-0.03vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-1.99-2.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.68-1.80vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-2.63-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Virginia Tech1.0554.4%1st Place
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4.59University of Maryland-0.859.3%1st Place
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6.18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.434.3%1st Place
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4.67Drexel University-0.858.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Delaware-2.052.1%1st Place
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7.28Catholic University of America-1.923.0%1st Place
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5.86Princeton University-1.335.1%1st Place
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5.05American University-1.017.2%1st Place
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8.97Monmouth University-2.581.3%1st Place
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7.52Rutgers University-1.992.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Military Academy-2.681.6%1st Place
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9.18St. John's College-2.631.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Morrison | 54.4% | 26.2% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 9.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John TIS | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Randle | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.4% |
| Christian Aron | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Cole Crosby | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Lance Shrum | 7.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Julia Marich | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 22.9% |
| Amelia Mignone | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| McCaslin Miles | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 25.6% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.