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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.68+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.32+0.10vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.58+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.11+0.29vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.96-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.12-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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2.1University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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3.05Northwestern University0.580.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.1Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neubauer | 21.1% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 39.3% | 30.5% | 16.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anton de Lesseps | 17.1% | 20.4% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Stone | 15.0% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Victor Nartovich | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 23.4% | 33.7% | 20.4% |
| Cuyler Dull | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 25.4% | 31.6% | 15.7% |
| Logan Noel | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 19.6% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.