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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.32+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.28+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.68-1.25vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.70-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.11-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-2.12-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Michigan1.320.4%1st Place
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4.03University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Michigan0.680.2%1st Place
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4.7Northwestern University-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Chicago-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Marozza | 44.2% | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 8.2% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 4.3% |
| Michael Stone | 15.0% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 21.3% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Will Neubauer | 22.9% | 25.0% | 23.0% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hershenhorn | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 24.2% | 11.7% |
| Victor Nartovich | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 30.6% | 20.9% |
| Logan Noel | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.